Recession Fears and Housing Market Headlines: What’s Really Going On?
You’ve probably seen the headlines by now—“Recession Incoming!” or “Housing Market Crash Ahead!”
It’s easy to get caught up in the fear. But let’s take a step back and look at the full picture so you can make decisions based on facts, not fear.
Recession Doesn’t Always Mean Falling Home Prices
Yes, the possibility of a recession is highe_r this year—but that doesn’t automatically mean the housing market will crash.
In fact, during four of the last six U.S. recessions, home values actually increased.
The 2008 housing crash is what most people remember, but that was a rare and unique situation driven by loose lending and overbuilding.
Rates Tend to Drop During Recessions
Historically, mortgage rates tend to fall during recessions, not rise.
For buyers who are in a solid financial position, that means lower borrowing costs and potentially better affordability.
So instead of thinking “wait until the market crashes,” it might be smarter to prepare now—so you’re ready when the window opens.
The Truth About New Home Inventory
Another headline making the rounds is:
“New home inventory is back to 2009 levels.”
That might sound alarming—but it’s missing context.
Builders aren’t overbuilding. They’re actually catching up after years of underbuilding.
This means more options and potential incentives for today’s buyers—not a sign of collapse.
My Focus: Cutting Through the Noise
Let’s be honest—most headlines are designed to get clicks, not provide clarity.
My role is to help you make sense of the market and align it with your real goals—whether that’s buying, selling, investing, or simply planning ahead.
If you’re wondering how today’s conditions affect your next move, I’m here to talk through it—no pressure, just straight answers.